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Red62
851713.4
361819.8
887320.8
Blue58
171119.9
364124.2
511015.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58672040801001206258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.2
20.720.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End3.5
blue by 3.3
24.20.0
24.224.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Second
19.80.2
19.619.8
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
blue by 0.2
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
8517
#17
13.40.2
13.313.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 1.8
5110
#24
15.30.0
15.315.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4