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Red67
851713.4
361819.8
887320.8
Blue65
171119.9
364124.2
511015.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59672040801001206765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.0
20.920.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End3.5
blue by 3.3
24.20.0
24.124.2
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Second
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
blue by 0.2
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
8517
#17
13.40.0
13.513.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 1.8
5110
#24
15.30.0
15.215.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4