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Red50
851713.4
60338.9
552514.4
Blue40
887320.8
607719.0
524711.4
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3238010205060705040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5525
#22
14.41.2
7.78.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 6.4
20.80.7
14.014.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End3.5
Second
8517
#17
13.41.2
11.913.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 5.5
6077
#14
19.00.7
12.413.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Third
6033
#37
8.91.2
9.610.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 2.6
5247
#33
11.40.7
7.07.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed