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Red41
368821.2
360320.7
92275.1
Blue45
213719.5
191817.3
516621.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43521020306070804145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.1
17.117.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Level
5166
#18
21.20.1
19.519.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.8
End4.1
Second
3603
#21
20.70.1
13.713.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 1.2
19.50.1
14.113.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Third
9227
#26
5.10.1
9.39.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 12.2
1918
#19
17.30.1
12.612.5
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed