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Red12
511015.3
80418.9
26199.1
Blue41
521618.0
78557.2
400314.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3445010203040506070801241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#24
15.32.2
10.58.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 2.7
5216
#15
18.00.2
15.815.9
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Second
2619
#30
9.12.2
11.89.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
blue by 5.4
4003
#25
14.50.2
14.214.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Third
8041
#29
8.92.2
9.57.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
red by 1.7
7855
#38
7.20.2
9.59.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed