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Red49
598010.4
550518.7
171119.9
Blue42
22466.1
92256.0
612118.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44300102040506070804942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.91.2
14.815.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 1.0
18.90.8
13.712.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.6
Second
5505
#11
18.71.2
14.916.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
red by 12.6
2246
#34
6.10.8
4.63.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Third
5980
#31
10.41.2
8.810.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End0.9
red by 4.4
9225
#35
6.00.8
10.910.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned