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Red29
508615.7
78085.3
71557.1
Blue36
55098.3
608715.2
442224.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3747102030405060702936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#10
15.70.7
17.616.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.7
End2.9
blue by 8.5
24.20.3
20.019.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End1.9
Second
7155
#20
7.11.2
10.59.3
Auto0.9
Teleop3.9
End2.3
blue by 8.0
6087
#12
15.20.6
13.012.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Third
7808
#39
5.31.2
6.65.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.3
End1.8
blue by 3.0
5509
#27
8.30.6
8.17.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed