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Red27
361819.8
77945.3
71557.1
Blue54
59829.6
171119.9
511015.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3536203040502754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.4
15.114.7
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
blue by 0.2
19.92.0
15.917.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
7155
#20
7.10.6
9.38.7
Auto0.9
Teleop3.9
End2.3
blue by 8.1
5110
#24
15.32.0
8.310.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
7794
#36
5.30.6
8.07.4
Auto0.6
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 4.3
5982
#23
9.62.0
7.09.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed