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Red41
92256.0
521618.0
516621.2
Blue54
550518.7
368821.2
508615.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495602040801004154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#18
21.20.5
19.318.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.8
End4.1
Level
21.20.4
17.217.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
5216
#15
18.00.5
15.915.5
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 0.7
5505
#11
18.70.4
16.116.5
Auto8.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Third
9225
#35
6.00.5
10.19.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 9.7
5086
#10
15.70.3
16.817.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed