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Red62
360320.7
851713.4
22466.1
Blue17
608715.2
92275.1
78557.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343502060801006217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#21
20.72.2
13.815.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 5.5
6087
#12
15.21.6
12.510.9
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Second
8517
#17
13.42.2
13.115.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2
red by 6.2
7855
#38
7.21.6
9.68.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Third
2246
#34
6.12.2
3.85.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.2
red by 1.0
9227
#26
5.11.6
9.47.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed