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Red21
78085.3
521618.0
552514.4
Blue44
612118.9
71557.1
851713.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373810203050602144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#15
18.02.6
16.613.9
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 0.9
18.91.2
12.113.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.6
Second
5525
#22
14.42.6
9.97.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 1.0
8517
#17
13.41.2
12.013.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Third
7808
#39
5.32.6
8.35.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.3
End1.8
blue by 1.8
7155
#20
7.11.2
9.110.3
Auto0.9
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned