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Red40
77945.3
851713.4
364124.2
Blue18
78557.2
71557.1
92256.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482404060801004018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.6
20.720.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End2.3
red by 17.0
7855
#38
7.21.9
6.95.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Second
8517
#17
13.40.6
14.814.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2
red by 6.3
7155
#20
7.11.9
8.86.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Third
7794
#36
5.30.6
4.94.3
Auto0.6
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 0.7
9225
#35
6.01.9
9.27.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed