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Red44
66429.2
887320.8
612118.9
Blue37
361819.8
598010.4
26199.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513602060801004437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.0
17.117.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End3.5
red by 1.1
19.80.2
16.216.4
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Second
18.90.0
16.416.4
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.6
red by 8.5
5980
#31
10.40.3
7.78.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End0.9
Third
6642
#16
9.20.0
10.910.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7
red by 0.1
2619
#30
9.10.3
10.610.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed