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Red68
598010.4
511015.3
442224.2
Blue22
80418.9
96505.5
524711.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50260204060801006822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.7
21.723.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End1.9
red by 12.8
5247
#33
11.40.9
10.89.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Second
5110
#24
15.32.4
12.414.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 6.4
8041
#29
8.90.9
7.56.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
Third
5980
#31
10.42.4
8.511.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End0.9
red by 5.0
9650
#32
5.50.6
8.37.7
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed