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Red31
550518.7
78085.3
77945.3
Blue73
887320.8
361819.8
368821.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28670204060801001203173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#11
18.70.1
18.418.5
Auto8.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
blue by 2.5
21.21.6
20.622.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
7794
#36
5.30.1
6.46.5
Auto0.6
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 15.5
20.81.6
18.319.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End3.5
Third
7808
#39
5.30.1
5.25.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.3
End1.8
blue by 14.5
19.81.1
17.118.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned