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Red30
552514.4
59829.6
78557.2
Blue49
95688.4
353620.9
521618.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275602040801003049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5525
#22
14.40.0
12.912.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 6.5
20.90.1
19.619.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Second
5982
#23
9.60.0
8.58.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.3
blue by 8.4
5216
#15
18.00.2
20.420.5
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
7855
#38
7.20.0
6.36.4
Auto4.3
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 1.2
9568
#28
8.40.2
7.47.6
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed