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Red50
60338.9
516621.2
360320.7
Blue56
400314.5
612118.9
171119.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5155203040607080905056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#18
21.20.3
19.319.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.8
End4.1
red by 1.3
19.90.1
20.220.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
3603
#21
20.70.3
18.719.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 1.8
18.90.1
16.516.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.6
Third
6033
#37
8.90.3
8.99.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 5.7
4003
#25
14.50.1
12.913.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed