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Red49
66429.2
608715.2
361819.8
Blue31
851713.4
598010.4
213719.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464930406070804931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.4
18.218.6
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
red by 0.2
19.51.1
19.918.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Second
6087
#12
15.20.5
13.714.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End2.8
red by 1.7
8517
#17
13.41.2
12.811.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Third
6642
#16
9.20.5
9.710.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7
blue by 1.2
5980
#31
10.41.1
11.09.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed