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Red39
400314.5
55098.3
66429.2
Blue38
612118.9
78557.2
60338.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3236010204050603938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#25
14.50.0
13.013.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 4.3
18.90.5
16.617.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.6
Second
6642
#16
9.20.0
10.210.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7
red by 0.3
6033
#37
8.90.5
9.29.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Third
5509
#27
8.30.0
6.26.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 1.1
7855
#38
7.20.5
6.46.9
Auto4.3
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed