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Red41
524711.4
552514.4
95688.4
Blue53
511015.3
516621.2
608715.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305702040801001204153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5525
#22
14.40.5
12.913.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 6.7
5166
#18
21.20.4
19.620.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.8
End4.1
Second
5247
#33
11.40.5
9.810.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.8
blue by 3.8
5110
#24
15.30.4
14.815.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
9568
#28
8.40.5
7.68.1
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 6.7
6087
#12
15.20.4
14.214.6
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned