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Red39
554711.9
22466.1
887320.8
Blue50
59829.6
361819.8
353620.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395302060803950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.2
19.319.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End3.5
blue by 0.1
20.90.3
19.820.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Second
5547
#13
11.90.2
11.812.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
blue by 7.9
19.80.3
18.618.8
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Third
2246
#34
6.10.2
5.96.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.2
blue by 3.6
5982
#23
9.60.3
7.88.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned