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Red57
80418.9
400314.5
360320.7
Blue13
508615.7
191817.3
96505.5
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435202060801001205713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#21
20.71.4
18.920.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 3.4
1918
#19
17.33.1
19.716.6
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Second
4003
#25
14.51.4
13.014.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 1.1
5086
#10
15.72.5
19.216.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Third
8041
#29
8.91.4
7.89.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
red by 3.4
9650
#32
5.52.5
7.34.7
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed