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Red52
368821.2
171119.9
521618.0
Blue71
361819.8
442224.2
364124.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6972204060801001201405271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.21.2
23.021.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
blue by 3.0
24.20.4
22.923.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End1.9
Second
19.91.2
20.619.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 4.2
24.20.4
23.223.6
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Third
5216
#15
18.01.2
19.218.0
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 1.8
19.80.4
18.819.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed