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Red71
55098.3
353620.9
442224.2
Blue48
191817.3
607719.0
521618.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56612040801007148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.4
23.323.8
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End1.9
red by 5.2
6077
#14
19.00.5
19.018.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Second
20.90.4
20.120.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 3.0
5216
#15
18.00.5
18.017.6
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
5509
#27
8.30.4
7.47.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 9.0
1918
#19
17.30.5
17.316.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End1.9