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Red68
851713.4
361819.8
887320.8
Blue32
400314.5
508615.7
368821.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58592040801006832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.2
20.320.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End3.5
blue by 0.4
21.20.5
21.821.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
19.80.2
19.219.4
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
red by 4.1
5086
#10
15.70.5
16.315.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Third
8517
#17
13.40.2
12.913.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 1.1
4003
#25
14.50.5
15.114.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4