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Red71
521618.0
607719.0
191817.3
Blue52
66429.2
508615.7
368821.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605002040801007152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#14
19.00.3
18.518.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 2.2
21.20.1
21.321.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
5216
#15
18.00.3
17.617.8
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End1.2
red by 2.3
5086
#10
15.70.1
15.815.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Third
1918
#19
17.30.3
16.817.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 8.1
6642
#16
9.20.1
9.39.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7