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Red40
554711.9
552514.4
608715.2
Blue81
550518.7
516621.2
360320.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436702060801004081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6087
#12
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End2.8
blue by 6.0
5166
#18
21.20.3
20.320.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.8
End4.1
Second
5525
#22
14.40.0
14.514.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 6.2
3603
#21
20.70.3
19.820.1
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Third
5547
#13
11.90.0
12.011.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
blue by 6.8
5505
#11
18.70.3
17.818.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6