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Red49
55098.3
353620.9
442224.2
Blue64
887320.8
361819.8
851713.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58592040801001204964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.1
23.823.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End1.9
red by 3.4
20.80.2
20.520.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End3.5
Second
20.90.1
20.520.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 1.2
19.80.2
19.419.7
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Third
5509
#27
8.30.1
7.97.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 5.1
8517
#17
13.40.2
13.113.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2