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Red45
57049.5
566021.1
852220.3
Blue39
92417.9
725410.2
362024.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45372030506070804539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#16
21.10.4
19.920.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 3.9
3620
#10
24.90.3
18.819.1
Auto12.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Second
8522
#13
20.30.4
13.914.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.8
red by 10.1
7254
#26
10.20.3
6.56.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Third
5704
#31DQ
9.50.4
5.86.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.2
red by 1.6
9241
#39
7.90.3
9.49.7
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed