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Red29
365523.6
83017.4
92383.7
Blue44
716617.5
923720.6
52059.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32510204060801002944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.8
19.318.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 3.0
20.60.0
16.216.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Second
830
#15
17.40.8
10.59.7
Auto9.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 0.1
7166
#21
17.50.0
19.819.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
Third
9238
#36
3.70.8
1.10.3
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.2
blue by 5.4
5205
#22
9.10.0
8.28.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed