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Red53
567621.9
842414.9
65569.2
Blue19
71959.3
55179.0
52345.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46140102030406070805319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.5
18.418.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 12.6
7195
#30
9.30.1
5.35.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End0.8
Second
8424
#11
14.90.5
14.815.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End0.5
red by 5.9
5517
#37
9.00.1
4.85.0
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Third
6556
#17
9.20.5
4.95.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.3
End2.2
red by 3.5
5234
#32
5.70.2
6.87.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed