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Red60
132214.6
852220.3
362024.9
Blue41
566021.1
553320.1
9410.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5450204060801001206041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#10
24.90.7
20.220.9
Auto12.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 3.9
5660
#16
21.10.6
19.919.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Second
8522
#13
20.30.7
14.915.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.8
red by 0.2
20.10.6
17.116.5
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
1322
#12
14.60.7
13.213.8
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
red by 3.8
94
#25
10.80.6
8.88.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed