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Red55
65569.2
923720.6
362024.9
Blue29
9410.8
150415.9
97537.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53310204060801001205529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#10
24.90.7
20.220.9
Auto12.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 9.0
1504
#20
15.90.1
13.913.8
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Second
20.60.7
17.818.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End1.4
red by 9.8
94
#25
10.80.1
8.98.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Third
6556
#17
9.20.7
6.97.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.3
End2.2
red by 1.9
9753
#40DQ
7.30.1
7.67.4
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed