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Red59
52345.7
842414.9
860828.8
Blue35
97038.9
722516.3
83017.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504002060801005935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.7
22.222.9
Auto11.3
Teleop13.3
End4.2
red by 11.4
830
#15
17.40.2
12.212.0
Auto9.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Second
8424
#11
14.90.7
16.016.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End0.5
blue by 1.3
7225
#27
16.30.2
15.115.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
5234
#32
5.71.1
6.07.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
blue by 3.1
9703
#38
8.90.2
10.110.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed