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Red26
92383.7
97038.9
362024.9
Blue49
654824.6
78188.3
65569.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3620010304050602649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#10
24.90.3
19.118.8
Auto12.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 0.4
24.62.1
11.813.9
Auto10.5
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Second
9703
#38
8.90.4
10.39.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.6
blue by 0.4
6556
#17
9.21.2
3.74.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Third
9238
#36
3.70.4
1.41.1
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.2
blue by 4.6
7818
#23
8.31.2
4.86.1
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned