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Red52
370725.2
722516.3
56238.6
Blue65
566021.1
52059.1
365523.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45483540505560655265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.6
22.222.8
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End1.7
red by 1.6
23.61.5
17.919.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Second
7225
#27
16.30.6
13.714.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 4.8
5660
#16
21.11.5
18.519.9
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Third
5623
#33
8.60.6
4.85.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 0.5
5205
#22
9.11.5
6.78.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed