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Red76
567416.4
132214.6
261134.0
Blue36
705631.1
66106.4
725410.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544420304050607080907636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.9
26.428.3
Auto15.1
Teleop17.5
End1.4
red by 2.9
31.10.3
25.825.4
Auto13.3
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Second
5674
#18
16.41.9
12.914.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 6.1
7254
#26
10.20.3
6.86.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Third
1322
#12
14.61.9
8.410.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
red by 8.2
6610
#29
6.40.4
8.68.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed