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Red9
66106.4
92417.9
365523.6
Blue78
564114.4
261134.0
567621.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33830204060100120140978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.8
19.017.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.2
blue by 10.4
34.00.1
31.931.8
Auto15.1
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Second
9241
#39
7.91.8
8.97.1
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 14.0
21.90.1
22.422.4
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Third
6610
#29
6.41.8
7.76.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 8.0
5641
#34
14.40.1
14.614.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed