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Red51
607817.1
65569.2
553320.1
Blue40
55179.0
56238.6
705631.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454310203050607080905140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.7
18.919.5
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 11.0
31.10.1
28.929.0
Auto13.3
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Second
6078
#14
17.10.7
14.415.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End3.1
red by 8.1
5517
#37
9.00.1
5.25.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Third
6556
#17
9.20.7
7.58.2
Auto4.7
Teleop2.3
End2.2
red by 0.6
5623
#33
8.60.1
5.05.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed