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Red65
567621.9
608510.2
722516.3
Blue36
65917.6
83017.4
564114.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52340204060801006536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.3
22.423.7
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 4.5
830
#15
17.40.2
12.012.2
Auto9.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Second
7225
#27
16.31.3
15.016.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 1.9
5641
#34
14.40.2
14.514.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End0.7
Third
6085
#19
10.21.3
8.09.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End2.6
red by 2.6
6591
#28
7.60.2
6.76.9
Auto4.3
Teleop1.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed