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Red51
654824.6
52059.1
66106.4
Blue29
365523.6
150415.9
52345.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384302060801005129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.7
19.920.6
Auto10.5
Teleop11.5
End2.5
red by 0.9
23.60.6
17.316.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Second
5205
#22
9.10.4
9.09.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End0.2
blue by 6.8
1504
#20
15.90.6
13.813.2
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Third
6610
#29
6.40.4
6.06.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 0.7
5234
#32
5.71.0
7.16.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed