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Red44
97537.3
370725.2
716617.5
Blue66
83017.4
261134.0
92039.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5860405070804466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.9
26.225.3
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End1.7
blue by 8.8
34.00.8
31.732.5
Auto15.1
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Second
7166
#21
17.50.9
17.917.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
red by 0.1
830
#15
17.40.8
13.914.7
Auto9.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Third
9753
#40DQ
7.31.3
8.77.3
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 1.8
9203
#24
9.10.8
8.89.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed