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Red80
365523.6
553320.1
923720.6
Blue41
65569.2
57049.5
608510.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66260204060801008041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.7
16.818.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 13.4
6085
#19
10.20.8
11.011.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End2.6
Second
20.61.7
18.620.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End1.4
red by 11.1
5704
#31
9.50.8
8.39.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Third
20.11.7
19.220.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End1.1
red by 10.9
6556
#17
9.20.8
9.210.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed