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Red53
722516.3
55179.0
654824.6
Blue54
9410.8
92417.9
705631.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475101001505354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.5
21.121.6
Auto10.5
Teleop11.5
End2.5
blue by 6.5
31.10.6
29.229.7
Auto13.3
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Second
7225
#27
16.30.4
15.415.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 5.5
94
#25
10.80.6
8.69.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Third
5517
#37
9.00.4
6.36.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.1
red by 1.1
9241
#39
7.90.6
7.98.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed