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Red46
52059.1
564114.4
860828.8
Blue62
567416.4
567621.9
725410.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545540455060657075804662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.0
24.023.0
Auto11.3
Teleop13.3
End4.2
red by 6.9
21.90.2
23.824.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Second
5641
#34
14.41.0
14.913.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End0.7
blue by 2.0
5674
#18
16.40.2
16.716.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
5205
#22
9.11.0
10.69.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End0.2
blue by 1.1
7254
#26
10.20.2
8.68.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned