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Red42
78188.3
97038.9
150415.9
Blue49
56238.6
71959.3
132214.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362902060801004249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#20
15.90.7
13.914.5
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
red by 1.3
1322
#12
14.61.1
15.516.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Second
9703
#38
8.90.7
9.09.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.6
blue by 0.4
7195
#30
9.31.1
6.47.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End0.8
Third
7818
#23
8.30.7
8.89.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 0.3
5623
#33
8.61.1
5.46.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed