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Red49
607817.1
9410.8
83017.4
Blue17
65917.6
92417.9
78188.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50250204060801004917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#15
17.40.4
16.416.8
Auto9.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
red by 9.1
7818
#23
8.30.6
8.98.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Second
6078
#14
17.10.4
16.116.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End3.1
red by 9.2
9241
#39
7.90.6
8.57.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Third
94
#25
10.80.4
10.110.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.5
red by 3.2
6591
#28
7.60.6
8.17.6
Auto4.3
Teleop1.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed