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Red16
92039.1
608510.2
52345.7
Blue79
860828.8
92383.7
654824.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266002040801001679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6085
#19
10.20.8
11.010.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End2.6
blue by 18.6
28.81.9
25.327.2
Auto11.3
Teleop13.3
End4.2
Second
9203
#24
9.10.8
9.99.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End2.1
blue by 15.4
24.62.2
22.825.0
Auto10.5
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
5234
#32
5.70.8
6.65.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
red by 2.0
9238
#36
3.71.9
1.83.7
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned