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Red68
607817.1
83017.4
716617.5
Blue55
654824.6
150415.9
553320.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5370204060801001206855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#21
17.50.3
16.717.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 7.1
24.60.1
24.724.6
Auto10.5
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Second
830
#15
17.40.3
16.616.9
Auto9.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 2.7
20.10.1
20.220.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
6078
#14
17.10.3
16.416.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End3.1
red by 1.2
1504
#20
15.90.1
16.115.9
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5