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Red52
567416.4
852220.3
132214.6
Blue52
722516.3
566021.1
842414.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575652545860625252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8522
#13
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.8
blue by 0.8
5660
#16
21.10.0
20.620.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Second
5674
#18
16.40.0
16.316.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 0.1
7225
#27
16.30.0
15.915.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
1322
#12
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 0.3
8424
#11
14.90.0
14.514.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End0.5